Displaying posts tagged: economy

Did the Fed cure cancer?

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![The Economist Fed Funds Rate](http://www.economist.com/images/ga/2007w28/Fed50.gif) **FIGURE 1: Fed Funds Target Rate (%) - The Economist** [As i mentioned yesterday](http://diyeconomist.com/wordpress/2007/09/17/waiting-for-the-fed/), a rate change by the Fed would probably have little effect on the economy. But now everyone - in the figurative sense - in response to a 0.5 percent rate cut is acting like the Fed [cured ...

Waiting for the Fed...

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It's that time of year again - when *yet another* highly anticipated move by the Fed comes at a [critical juncture](http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p48434087443) of a market that's been steading ascending in [volatility](http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$vix&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p48434087443). Why am I not surprised? Anyways, Barry Ritholtz cites the views of Doug Kass, a perma-bear in what could be called a period of "exuberant optimism" ...

The iPhone price cut - a closer look

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It's everywhere these days; Apple just lowered the price of it's (overly?) hyped portable communications device, the iPhone, by 200$, angering hordes of Apple zealots. Coincidentally, its stock fell from a peak of 145 to a hair above 130 in a matter of days. What are people thinking about this? Why did they do this? Turley ...

Trying to apply stochastic resonance to volatility indicators

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So I've been reading Noise, by Bart Kosko. Short summary? Great topic, baaaad writing. Mr. Kosko should not have published such an .. *ahem* … poorly edited book. Go blame USC. Anyways. From what I can glean, as I'm not EE, stochastic resonance is essentially an anomalous effect that is achieved by adding a so-called optimal ...

The fallacy of short-term rates

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So while looking at the most recent yield curve (partially inverted), I thought of the time when I tried to convince my parents to lock in a 5-year CD around August. So they went to the bank, where they were greeted by a bank ad for (of course) those 3-month or 6-month CD's. In fact, the ...