The DIY Economist

(Pure speculation follows) Recently, seekingalpha brought up the topic of the yield curve again, suggesting an end to the recession in 2010. "Unlikely", the trader sentiment shouts out, but consider the paper published by Federal Reserve Bank economists Arturo Estrella and Frederic S. Mishkin: Throughout the post WWII economy, every recession has been preceded by an ...

Not content with the decline, we shot down and closed a hair below 885 (well, one point). I still believe a retest will come, possibly up to 920's or even 930. We do have a bearish cross on MACD and the NYSI looks like it is almost going to cross with its first down day in ...

Hussman has a good article up: http://www.hussmanfunds.com/rsi/rallyvolume.htm The gist is that bear market rallies differ from true bull market rallies in several important ways. Bull market rallies: Tend to NOT be explosive, though there are exceptions Typically exhibit broad market participation (i.e. increased volume) The more explosive the rally, the more broad participation there is Quote ...

So while you were away, I had some fun programming some Excel worksheets. Courtesy of Global Financial Data, of course. 1. Yield Curve tool. This is monthly, and goes WAY back to the wee years of 1953. Beat that :p http://www.diyeconomist.com;/wp/downloads/yieldcurve.xls;Yield Curve Tool; 2. EAFE-SPX (with a little Nikkei data thrown in) portfolio weigher and correlation ...

Load times of site I managed to reduce almost 66% ... mostly by taking out redundant code (e.g. virtualstockmarket access things). Lesson to learn is that even commented out PHP actually runs. Surprising isn't it... I have also updated the about section and made minor adjustments here and there (no more weather icon since it kind ...